Economic Reports


Daily Update (Source: RBC Financial Group)
Canadian CPI inflation shows more signs of stabilization in August
Sep 22, 2017
There were further tentative signs in August that the puzzling recent underperformance of Canadian inflation measures is gradually coming to an end. To be sure, most of a pop higher in the year-over-year headline inflation rate to 1.4% in August was the result of higher gasoline prices - and the rate itself is still well-below the Bank of Canada's 2% inflation target. The year-over-year rate excluding food & energy products held steady at 1.5% after posting its first increase in six months in July but two of the Bank of Canada-s preferred 'core' inflation measures-the CPI-trim and CPI-common - ticked up slightly with the third - the CPI-median - holding steady at a stronger 1.7%. Perhaps more telling, the underperformance ....     More >>
Weekly Commentary
Global Risk Environment Remains Strained - Sep 21, 2017
By Peter G. Hall, Vice-President and Chief Economist, Export Development Canada
There is no shortage of country risk developments around the world at the moment. Our most comprehensive analysis of such risks is found in our Top 10 political and economic risks piece. EDC has also carried out extensive analysis of Canada-US trade relations and the ongoing NAFTA renegotiations. In order to cover new territory, the focus here will be on developments away from the Western Hemisphere. Below are a few country risk issues that we will be monitoring in the coming months.
On the Korean Peninsula, as both the rhetoric and missile tests continue in the coming months, look for the international community to work to de-escalate tensions. While our baseline scenario is a continuation of the status quo, the probability of a limited conflict developing is rising. Any such conflict would have major implications for South ...     More >>
Economic Research
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