Economic Reports

Daily Update (Source: RBC Financial Group)
Canadian inflation showed some signs of stabilization in June
Jul 21, 2017
Price growth continued to moderate in June but with, perhaps, some early evidence of firming in underlying details. Headline CPI growth fell to its lowest level since October 2015 at 1.0% but held steady at 1.4% excluding the volatile food and energy components. That is still an admittedly very modest pace but marks the first month of the last five that the year-over-year rate of ex-food & energy prices has not moved lower. As well, two of the Bank of Canada's three preferred 'core' measures ticked higher in June although the 'CPI-Trim' measure held at a very low 1.2%. Modest price growth continues to contrast sharply with what increasingly would otherwise look to be an economy ....     More >>
Weekly Commentary
A Comeback for Global Trade? - Jul 20, 2017
By Peter G. Hall, Vice-President and Chief Economist, Export Development Canada
It has been a dreary decade for international trade. From the heights in 2008, global trade flows plunged, staged a quick partial revival, then went into a holding pattern from then until now. In terms of trade intensity, we are far from what we used to be, and many are resigned to our current state as a permanent new normal. The debate on the future of trade has reached a fever pitch, and resulted in a lot of public acrimony. In the context of trade's track record and the public backlash against its supporting architecture, is a comeback even possible?
Broadly-based disappointment in trade performance is understandable. After all, hopes were so high that in a world of static and even declining populations, the spread of trade would include masses of new consumers and increase productivity through globalization of supply ...     More >>
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